- This topic is empty.
-
AuthorPosts
-
teresabronson37
GuestThe point spread’s sole purpose is to even the betting in order that the total amount bet on the underdog is equal to the total amount bet on the favorite. The book makes its cash on the vigorish or juice. Consequently, in the event the amount bet on the underdog is the same as the total amount bet on the underdog, the book is guaranteed a 10% profit on half the bets made, regardless of what team covers.
The best linesmakers are many who have a feel for just what the betting public believes. The betting line they set reflects the betting public’s perception of the strength of the two teams. It does not necessarily reflect the true relative strengths of the 2 teams. And also the sportsbook betting public’s perception is usually wrong.
Once you know that concept, everything else will begin to fall into place. You may have an advantage over most bettors.
Be objective. Listen to you head not your heart. Do not bet against the Cowboys simply because you want to see them lose. And, do not bet on a team just because you like the team. And don’t bet on your favorite team in case you are an avid fan. It’s very difficult to be objective. Fans usually be overly optimistic about their favorite team or overly pessimistic if things are not going well.
Be consistent. Bet the exact same amount on each game. Some players bet $200 on games they think are locks and $100 on ones they’re not so sure of. It’s those not so sure of bets that rack up the losses. For anyone who is uncertain about a game, do not bet it.
Should you bet on the home team? Generally no. On the flip side, if you can be objective, you’ve got an edge. You probably know more about your home team than those in other parts of the country since the local media gives extensive coverage to the home team, coverage that’s not shared with the rest of the country.
Look for Trends. If you spot a trend, factor that into your decision. Some teams have other teams’ number. Within the last 4 years the 49ers have covered against the Rams 7 of 8 times and the one time they did not, Young was hurt and they had to play Druckmiller, a rookie. Within the last 5 years, Green Bay has lost 4 out the 5 games played in Detroit.
Trends are not guarantees. The pattern might not hold and also you lose your bet. Nevertheless, remember the idea is to increase your chances of winning. According to past performance, if you bet on the 49ers to cover against the Rams, you’re more likely to win your bet than to lose.
Place your bets late in the week. By waiting until the end of the week, you’ll know about any injuries to key players that might affect the way you bet. In many instances, players are injured or aggravate an injury in practice. Or what seemed like a minor injury on Tuesday may turn out to be one that will keep the player out of the game. Furthermore, weather conditions might affect your bet. Inclement weather often keeps the scoring down.
Limit the Range of Games You Bet. More is not better. The optimum number appears to be 3 to six games. Any more and the winning percentages often decline since the law of averages is needed. (The greater games you play the more likely you are to have 50% winners and 50% losers. And that’s a losing season, due to the juice.) Moreover, it’s simpler to concentrate on a limited range of games.
Losing Streaks Happen. Regardless of what, you can count on a losing streak. It happens to handicappers, professional gamblers, casual bettors, and also books. Be well prepared to ride it out. For anybody who is using Pro Predictor or perhaps a handicapping service, you must stick with it throughout the season so that you can come out a winner. Leaving at the very first sign of a losing streak will guarantee you lose for the season. Suppose you drop out only to have the handicapper go 5 for 5 the next week. Those are 5 wins you are going to never have and can affect your overall winning percentage.
Never Bet Against a Streak. This really is a key to increasing your winning and decreasing your losses. Consider this a betting mantra. Say it over as well as over until it is firmly embedded in your mind. Never bet against a streak. And, for anybody who is going to bet on streaks, bet the streak continues. And it will not matter whether or not the streak is a winning streak or possibly a losing streak. Ironically, logic will tell you that the odds of a streak continuing double with each additional week and you should bet against it. But there is a hidden trap.
Think about the following scenario: In week 10, you notice that Green Bay has covered for 4 weeks in a row. Should you bet that the streak will end? Of course, weekly the odds against the streak continuing double.
Betting Against the Streak: You bet $100 against Green Bay covering in week 11. Sure enough, they fail to cover. You are $100 ahead. But what happens should they do cover and also the streak continues. You’re $110 in the hole. What do you do? Do you bet another $100 against the streak in week 12 since the odds against the streak continuing are even greater? If you do, and the streak ends, you win $100 and now are just $10 loser and that is the end of that. Yet, in the event the streak continues, you are now $220 within the hole. What do you do now? Do you bite the bullet and take your losses or do you fall into the trap of chasing your loses? Do you continue and attempt to get back several of your losses? Do you double up in an try to cover your loses? Do not do it. Doubling up is never a wise idea. It is another trap that will cause you to have huge losses and it is not worth the gamble.
Betting with the Streak: You bet $100 that Green Bay will cover again in week 11. Should they fail to cover, you’ve lost $110 and that’s that, much like a regular straight bet. But what happens if they do cover and also the streak continues. You are $100 to the excellent and trusted online gambling site (Get Source) if you continue to bet on the streak, the most you can lose is $10. If you bet another $100 with the streak in week 12 as well as the streak ends, your net losses are $10. Still, if the streak continues, you are guaranteed to come out at least $90 ahead and with each addition week the streak continues, you add another $100 to your winnings.
Because of this, if you bet against a streak, the most you can win is $100 but you the total amount you may lose is limited only through the length of the streak. If you bet with the streak, the most you can lose is $110, but the amount you may win is limited only by the length of the streak.
-
AuthorPosts